Only 4 More Days!

Only 4 days remain for the $8,000 Tax Credit! You must have an executed contract by April 30th to qualify! Contact Ashley, David or T.J. now!

Existing-Home Sales Rise on Home Buyer Tax Credit and Favorable Market Conditions

Buyers responding to the homebuyer tax credit and favorable affordability conditions boosted existing-home sales in March, marking the beginning of an expected spring surge, according to the National Association of Realtors®.

Existing-home sales1, which are completed transactions that include single-family, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 6.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.35 million units in March from 5.01 million in February, and are 16.1 percent above the 4.61 million-unit level in March 2009.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said it is encouraging to see a broad home sales recovery in nearly every part of the country, with two important underlying trends. “Sales have been above year-ago levels for nine straight months, and inventory has trended down from year-ago levels for 20 months running,” he said. “The home buyer tax credit has been a resounding success as these underlying trends point to a broad stabilization in home prices. This is preserving perhaps $1 trillion in largely middle class housing wealth that may have been wiped out without the housing stimulus measure.”

Total housing inventory at the end of March rose 1.5 percent to 3.58 million existing homes available for sale, which represents an 8.0-month supply2 at the current sales pace, down from an 8.5-month supply in February. Raw unsold inventory is 1.8 percent below a year ago, and is 21.7 percent below the record of 4.58 million in July 2008.

“Foreclosures have been feeding into the inventory pipeline at a fairly steady pace and are being absorbed manageably,” Yun said. “In fact, foreclosures are selling quickly, especially in the lower price ranges that are attractive to first-time home buyers.”

A parallel NAR practitioner survey3 shows first-time buyers purchased 44 percent of homes in March, up from 42 percent in February. Investors accounted for 19 percent of transactions in March, unchanged from February; the remaining sales were to repeat buyers. All-cash sales remain elevated at 27 percent in March, the same as in February.

The national median existing-home price4 for all housing types was $170,700 in March, up 0.4 percent from March 2009. Distressed homes, typically sold at a 15 percent discount, accounted for 35 percent of sales last month – unchanged from February.

“With home values stabilizing, a revival in home buying confidence will likely help the housing market get back on its feet even as the tax credit impact disappears,” Yun said.

NAR President Vicki Cox Golder, owner of Vicki L. Cox & Associates in Tucson, Ariz., said buying conditions are in near-perfect alignment. “Even with tougher loan standards, historically low mortgage interest rates with affordable prices and a sense that the market is turning have created optimal conditions in much of the country,” she said.

“With the fast approaching April 30 deadline to get a contract in place for the tax credit, Realtors® are working harder than ever to negotiate transactions, arrange services and complete paperwork,” Golder said. “Because many repeat buyers need to sell their current home first, many will be purchasing later without the tax credit but now have the benefit of a more buoyant housing market.”

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage dipped to 4.97 percent in March from 4.99 percent in February; the rate was 5.00 percent in March 2009.

Single-family home sales rose 7.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.68 million in March from a level of 4.36 million in February, and are 13.3 percent above the 4.13 million level a year ago. The median existing single-family home price was $170,700 in March, up 0.6 percent from March 2009.

Single-family median prices rose in 14 out of 20 metropolitan statistical areas reported in March in comparison with a year earlier. Five metro areas experienced double-digit increases, including San Diego, St. Louis and Boston.

Existing condominium and co-op sales increased 3.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 670,000 in March from 650,000 in February, and are 39.3 percent higher than the 481,000-unit level in March 2009. The median existing condo price5 was $170,600 in March, which is 0.7 percent below a year ago.

Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast increased 6.0 percent to an annual level of 890,000 in March and are 25.4 percent higher than a year ago. The median price in the Northeast was $249,800, up 8.9 percent from March 2009.

Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 7.2 percent in March to a pace of 1.19 million and are 15.5 percent above March 2009. The median price in the Midwest was $139,300, up 0.2 percent from a year ago.

In the South, existing-home sales increased 7.1 percent to an annual level of 1.97 million in March and are 13.9 percent higher than a year ago. The median price in the South was $154,800, up 5.2 percent from March 2009.

Existing-home sales in the West rose 6.6 percent to an annual rate of 1.30 million in March and are 14.0 percent above March 2009. The median price in the West was $209,400, down 7.9 percent from a year ago.

Future of Rolling Mill Hill condos could be known soon

Nashville development group and four national investors remain in the running to buy three condominium buildings atop Rolling Mill Hill that now are being marketed as an apartment community.

The five bidders, chosen from a group of 21 that submitted bids by an April 2 deadline, are now being asked to adjust their offers by Monday in terms of price or how quickly they intend to move ahead on the project. Bank of America, which owns the property, wants $10 million for the 72 units up for sale.

Nathan Swenson, a broker at Cushman & Wakefield in Atlanta, which was hired to market the buildings, declined to reveal identities of the bidders. But he did confirm that one is from Nashville while the others are national institutional or private equity investors.

The condos were a key part of the master plan for redeveloping the old Nashville General Hospital site off Hermitage Avenue near downtown. But the three buildings were taken over by the senior lender in a foreclosure after the condominium market here tanked and the Wisconsin-based developer defaulted on its $21.4 million

Senior lender Bank of America paid $7.28 million to buy the condos back and hired real estate company Cushman & Wakefield to market them for a new use, probably as upscale apartments.

"There's so many condos already in downtown Nashville … that we didn't feel like that was the right opportunity for the immediate term," Swenson said. "So, we marketed it as an apartment or rental opportunity."

A partnership of Nashville-based The Mathews Co. and Corner Partnership previously had offered $5 million to $6 million, or 40 percent below the owner's asking price, said Mark Bloom, a partner in Corner. "It's ridiculous what they're trying to get for their property," he said.

Bloom said it would be difficult for any buyer at the sought-after price to generate enough rental income and a rate of return on the investment that makes sense.

Swenson estimates that the apartments could rent for $1,400 for units that average 1,136 square feet. That's about $1.25 a square foot — a price similar to rental rates in the upscale Vanderbilt-West End Avenue area.

Kirby Davis, president of Nashville-based First Management Services and past president of the Greater Nashville Apartment Association, believes developers could get those targeted rental rates from tenants.

"They're brand-new units and have condo finishes," Davis said.

Others, however, said that it could take some time for the former condo units to get leased as apartments, in part because the Rolling Mill Hill area is largely untested as a residential market.

Bloom points to how difficult it has been for Corner Partnership to lease for $1.25 a square foot a 2,500-square-foot condo unit it bought at auction in The West End luxury condos. He said the units at Rolling Mill Hill sit in a less-attractive location and have fewer amenities.

But Davis expects the fact that the three buildings are near the Gulch and downtown to boost interest. "They're only a stone's throw from the Gulch, which is one of the hottest residential areas in terms of high-rise living," he said.

203k Funds Ensure Safe Homes; Give Homeowners Peace of Mind

RISMEDIA, April 8, 2010—For many home buyers who use the government’s 203k program to renovate a home, the emphasis may be on flooring, kitchen/bath renovations or fencing. However, for one Florida home buyer, his concern was a bit more serious—ensuring a fix to the home’s electrical problems and purchasing a new air-conditioning/heating system to replace the system that had been stolen from the foreclosed home.

“They ripped it right out,” says Robert “Matt” Vanderbrink of Eustis, Florida. “It was a clean break.” If Vanderbrink wanted the home, he knew he would have no choice but to replace the system himself. Otherwise, his FHA loan would not have been approved.

After careful consideration, Vanderbrink decided to move ahead with the home purchase and decided to work with Lowe’s for all his heating/air conditioning needs.

“Lowe’s was fantastic. I worked with their Fern Park location,” says Vanderbrink. “The HVAC guys over there are true professionals. They called me and asked me to come in; they explained everything in great detail. I was really impressed.”

According to Vanderbrink, Lowe’s sent their installers over to the house before any work began so they could see what really needed—and didn’t need—to be done, ensuring that it was a custom job.

“I didn’t have to worry about anything, which was a huge relief,” he says. “The job was done so well—and quickly.”

Indeed, Vanderbrink says that once they got the go-ahead, the contractors Lowe’s brought in to handle the job took only one day to install the new system and build the new electrical lines needed for the fix.

“I couldn’t be happier,” he says. “Lowe’s took care of everything and now we have a great home that I’m very happy with.”

In fact, Vanderbrink says he’s already spreading the word on both the 203k loan and Lowe’s.

“It’s such a great program,” he says. “I know two people who are looking to buy, and I’ve already explained the program and how I worked with Lowe’s. Like me, they didn’t know anything about the loan and how Lowe’s works with 203k lenders. They were very excited.”

Adds Vanderbrink: “If I ever go this route again, I will definitely go through Lowe’s. You’re getting the people who take the time to understand your issues and needs. They’re so professional. Step-by-step, they took me through the entire process and explained how it would happen. I couldn’t have asked for anything better.”

For more information on the 203k loan program, visit www.hud.gov or www.re-buildusa.com.

Pending Home Sales Show Healthy Gain, Hint at Spring Surge

Pending home sales rose in February 2010, potentially signaling a second surge of home sales in response to the home buyer tax credit, according to the National Association of Realtors.

The Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI), a forward-looking indicator based on contracts signed in February, rose 8.2% to 97.6 from a downwardly revised 90.2 in January, and remains 17.3% above February 2009 when it was 83.2. The data reflects contracts and not closings, which usually occur with a lag time of one or two months.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said the improvement is another hopeful sign. “The rise in buyer contact activity may signal the early stages of a second surge of home sales this spring. The healthy gain hints home prices are continuing to flatten,” he said. “We need a second surge to meaningfully draw down inventory and definitively stabilize home values.”

The PHSI in the Northeast rose 9.0% to 77.7 in February and is 18.9% higher than February 2009. In the Midwest the index jumped 21.8% to 97.9 and is 18.7% above a year ago. Pending home sales in the South increased 9.2% to an index of 107.0, and the index is 17.5% higher than February 2009. In the West the index fell 4.8% to 98.0 but is 14.6% above a year ago.

“Anecdotally, we’re hearing about a rise of activity in recent weeks with ongoing reports of multiple offers in more markets, so the March data could demonstrate additional improvement from buyers responding to the tax credit,” Yun said.

Short Sale/Foreclosure!

The Fine Living Group of Nashville now has a certified short-sale and foreclosure specialist. Please contact us if you are buying/selling; we would love to share our knowledge and expertise with YOU!

Money May be Tight, But Homeowners Still Investing in Great Outdoors

Homeowners love their yards. They plant gardens, create cozy areas for entertaining, and install decorative elements that they’re as happy to look at from the kitchen window as they are from their chaise lounge.

And despite a weak economy, Americans are expected to continue this love affair with the world outside their door—and perhaps spend a little more time in it as they plan to spend their summer vacations at home.

About 94% of residential landscape architects polled by the American Society of Landscape Architects earlier this year said that outdoor living spaces, including cooking and entertaining areas, would be popular in 2010. That said, improvements are expected to have few frills as homeowners stick to the basics in this cool economy.

“Homeowners want to create a sense of place for their family, friends, and neighbors to enjoy outside, but an uncertain economy means many will dial back some of the extra features we’ve seen in past years,” said Nancy Somerville, executive vice president for the group.

According to the survey results, some of the most popular features this year include: outdoor seating and dining areas, including benches and seat-walls or weatherized outdoor furniture, as well as fire pits and fireplaces, the classic outdoor grill and outdoor counter space. More lavish outdoor kitchen appliances, including refrigerators and sinks, are expected to be less popular, as are stereo systems and outdoor heaters. Survey results found a growing interest in low-maintenance landscapes and native plants. There’s also a continued resurgence of the home garden.

While consumers may be planting more as a way to have fresher produce or so they can know where their food is coming from, there’s also an economic driver: According to the National Gardening Association, a well-maintained food garden yields an average $500 return, considering a typical investment and the market price of produce.

A growing market
The interest in spending time outside is likely to beget more products designed for indoor/outdoor use in the near future, according to Rob Tannen and Mathieu Turpault, of Bresslergroup, a product-development firm.

One of the products they imagined: a tray container system that people could take into the garden to collect fruits and vegetables, adapt to fit the sink for cleaning the produce and slide into a refrigerator as you would a crisper drawer. Another concept was a grill with seating built around it, allowing cooks to entertain friends as they work.

Technology will likely play a larger role outdoors, too, Tannen said. It’s not far-fetched to imagine a shed with solar roofing panels that allow you to charge pieces of large lawn equipment, as easily as you might dock your Dustbuster inside the house. Or using iPod apps in the garden to learn how to best take care of a plant, he said.

Already, technology has entered some gardens. EasyBloom, a product that hit the market in 2008, is a sensor that you stick in the ground to collect information about the soil. You then connect it to a computer via a USB port, where collected information is analyzed to help determine what plants will thrive in that area. The tool also can diagnose problems with an existing plant. “People get bummed out when a plant is not doing well,” said Matt Glenn, chief executive of PlantSense, the company that sells EasyBloom. “If you have a rose bush, put the sensor next to the rose bush and the sensor will look at the world the way the rose does.” You’ll quickly learn, for example, if it isn’t getting enough sunlight or has been over-watered—which can be useful for the growing ranks of novice gardeners.

Adding appeal
When designing any outdoor area, it’s important to create a series of places that you can inhabit, whether it’s a covered space to entertain in or a vegetable bed to attend to, said Sarah Susanka, an architect and author of The Not So Big House series of books. Don’t forget your garden’s view from the inside either, she added.

“When I was designing my garden, I designed a view from my kitchen window,” so it could be enjoyed while standing at the kitchen sink, she said. “If you can see something that you find attractive day after day, you’re much more likely to sit out there,” she added.

And while many homeowners are making these outdoor improvements to their homes so they can enjoy them—especially in a real estate market where moving to another home is financially difficult for some families—a well-planned and maintained garden and outdoor area will serve an owner at the time of resale too.

“When you have a beautiful garden, someone will fall in love with it. In fact, it’s what they’re purchasing—more than the house even,” Susanka said.

Arbors, water features such as fountains, pergolas and decks are expected to be the most popular outdoor structures for homeowners this year, according to the architects group. And making an investment in a deck, for example, might set an existing home apart from a newly constructed one, said Edie Kello, director of marketing for Fiberon, a company that manufactures composite decking material.

“Fifteen to 20 years ago, most builders were putting on decks. A lot of construction builders these days aren’t building decks,” Kello said. “I think it’s a cost factor,” she said, adding that when builders were mass producing during the boom years—building as quickly and cost-effectively as possible—home buyers would often get only a stoop outside their door.

Poll Shows Strong Support for Government Housing Initiatives

RISMEDIA, March 5, 2010—Americans remain strongly committed to federal support for home buyers, according to a recent survey of U.S. households.

Roughly 68% of those polled said the government should continue to support housing, and 65% believe the government should be doing more to keep families from losing their homes to foreclosure.

The poll included both home owners and renters and was conducted for the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) by RT Strategies, a non-partisan public opinion polling firm based in Washington, D.C. RT Strategies interviewed a representative sample of 1,000 adults nationwide by telephone using live interviewers on January 29-31, 2010. The sample included 170 interviews with respondents from cell-phone-only households.

Among those polled, some key groups said the government should continue to play a vital role in maintaining a healthy housing market. For example, 78% of all potential home buyers, including 81% of renters intending to buy a home in the near future, said the government should continue to support housing.

Roughly 65% of home owners said the government also needs to do more to keep families from losing their homes. Support for more foreclosure protection was not confined merely to current home owners. Among renters, 84% said the government needs to do more to helped strapped borrowers. This issue is particularly important to women, with 71% supporting greater foreclosure protection, compared to 58% of men.

Keeping families in their homes is also particularly important to first-time home buyers, as 78% of young adults under age 30 support greater foreclosure protection. And 69% of adults who are 30 to 44, the prime age range for move-up buyers, said they support more foreclosure protection.

Overall, roughly two-in-three respondents said they own their home. Among renters, about two-in-three intend to buy a home in the near future. In addition, 15% of current home owners intend to buy a home in the near future.

The poll asked respondents for their views regarding the Worker, Homeownership and Business Assistance Act of 2009 that extended a tax credit of up to $8,000 for qualified first-time home buyers purchasing a principal residence. The legislation, which was signed into law by President Obama in November 2009, also authorized a tax credit of up to $6,500 for qualified repeat home buyers. Overall, 8% of those surveyed said they intend to take advantage of this credit, while another 24% who might have been interested in using the tax credit said they cannot afford to purchase a home at this time. Of the 33% of respondents who said they are planning to buy a home (both renters and current home owners), roughly 17% said they intend to use the tax credit.

Financial concerns continue to be the greatest barrier to growth in the housing market. Among renters nationwide who aspire to own their own home, 39% simply don’t have the money to buy a home at this time, and another 20% said the primary obstacle is that they feel they cannot qualify for a loan. Larger economic issues also play a role, as 18% of those surveyed said that job security is the greatest obstacle they face in trying to buy a home.

Weakness in the housing market itself may be blocking some home owners who would like to buy a new home, as 29% of current home owners said their greatest obstacle to purchasing another home is their inability to sell their current home. Beyond that, among current homeowners who aspire to buy a new home, 7% feel trapped by a mortgage that exceeds the value of their current home, 14% fear that the value of a new home might fall after they make the investment, and 13% say home prices are too high to allow them to buy a new home at this time.

Even amid a housing market downturn, 40% of respondents said their home is their most valuable investment, twice the number who cite any other single investment–401k accounts, savings accounts and CDs, stocks and bonds, or mutual funds–as their leading family investment.

U.S. Foreclosure Activity Decreases 2% in February 2010

RISMEDIA, March 11, 2010—RealtyTrac, a leading online marketplace for foreclosure properties, released its February 2010 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report, which shows foreclosure filings—default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions—were reported on 308,524 U.S. properties during the month, a decrease of 2% from the previous month but still 6% above the level reported in February 2009. The report also shows one in every 418 U.S. housing units received a foreclosure filing in February.

“The 6% year-over-year increase we saw in February was the smallest annual increase we’ve seen since January 2006, when we began calculating year-over-year increases, but it still marked the 50th consecutive month of year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity,” said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. “This leveling of the foreclosure trend is not necessarily evidence that fewer homeowners are in distress and at risk for foreclosure, but rather that foreclosure prevention programs, legislation and other processing delays are in effect capping monthly foreclosure activity—albeit at a historically high level that will likely continue for an extended period.

“In addition, severe winter weather appears to have temporarily slowed the processing of foreclosure records in some Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic states.”

Foreclosure activity by type
Default notices (Notices of Default and Lis Pendens) were reported on a total of 106,208 U.S. properties during the month, an increase of 3% from the previous month but down 3% from February 2009. Default notices were down 25% from their peak of more than 142,000 in April 2009 but were still more than three times the number they were four years ago in February 2006.

Foreclosure auctions (Notices of Trustee’s Sale and Notices of Sheriff’s Sales) were scheduled for the first time on a total of 123,633 U.S. properties, a decrease of 1% from the previous month but still 16% higher than the level reported in February 2009. Scheduled auctions were down 14% from their peak of more than 144,000 in August 2009 but were also about three times higher than the number reported in February 2006.

Bank repossessions (REOs) were reported on a total of 78,683 U.S. properties during the month, a 10% decrease from the previous month but an increase of 6% from February 2009. Bank repossessions were down nearly 15% from their peak of more than 92,000 in December 2009 but were at nearly twice the level reported in February 2006.

Nevada, Arizona, Florida post top state foreclosure rates
Nevada foreclosure activity decreased nearly 7% from the previous month and was down 30% from February 2009, but the state’s foreclosure rate continued to rank highest in the nation for the 38th month in a row. One in every 102 Nevada housing units received a foreclosure filing during the month—more than four times the national average.

Arizona and Florida documented nearly identical foreclosure rates, with one in every 163 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing in both states. Despite a nearly 21% decrease in foreclosure activity from the previous month, Arizona’s rate was statistically slightly higher than Florida’s rate and ranked second highest among the states.

California’s foreclosure rate ranked fourth highest among the states, with one in every 195 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing during the month, and Michigan’s foreclosure rate ranked fifth highest among the states, with one in every 226 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing.

Other states with foreclosure rates among the nation’s 10 highest were Utah (one in every 275 housing units), Idaho (one in 296), Illinois (one in 305), Georgia (one in 331) and Maryland (one in 407).

Six states account for more than 60% of national total
The six states with the most foreclosure activity accounted for 61% of the national total in February. California led the way, with 68,562 properties receiving a foreclosure filing during the month—down nearly 5% from the previous month and down 15% from February 2009.

Foreclosure activity in Florida increased nearly 15% from the previous month and was up more than 16% from February 2009. The state continued to post the nation’s second highest total, with 54,032 properties received a foreclosure filing during the month.

Increasing foreclosure activity boosted Michigan’s total to third highest among the states. A total of 20,028 Michigan properties received a foreclosure filing during the month—up nearly 14% from the previous month and up 59% from February 2009.

With 17,312 properties receiving a foreclosure filing, Illinois posted the fourth highest total, followed by Arizona, with 16,718 properties receiving a foreclosure filing, and Texas, with 12,638 properties receiving a foreclosure filing in February.

Other states with totals among the 10 highest in the country were Georgia (12,177), Ohio (11,286), Nevada (11,035), and Maryland (5,732).

Divergent trends in metro areas with top 10 foreclosure rates
Metro areas in the Sun Belt states of Nevada, Florida, California and Arizona continued to dominate the top 10 highest foreclosure rates among metropolitan areas with a population of 200,000 or more, but activity trends in these areas varied considerably.

The Las Vegas metro area documented the highest metro foreclosure rate, with one in every 90 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing during the month, despite a 9% decrease in foreclosure activity from the previous month.

Six of the other metro areas in the top 10—all in California or Arizona—also reported decreasing foreclosure activity from the previous month. The biggest monthly decrease among the top 10 was in the Phoenix metro area, where foreclosure activity dropped nearly 18%.

In contrast, the two Florida metro areas in the top 10 both posted substantial monthly increases in foreclosure activity. The Cape Coral-Fort Myers metro area saw a 31% increase in foreclosure activity from the previous month, giving it the second highest metro foreclosure rate—one in every 92 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing. An increase of nearly 66% in foreclosure activity from the previous month helped boost the foreclosure rate in Port St. Lucie to sixth highest.

Is It the Beginning of the End for Housing Crisis?

RISMEDIA, March 8, 2010—(MCT)—A smaller percentage of mortgages were delinquent and the rate of those entering the foreclosure process slowed in the fourth quarter of 2009, possible signs that the foreclosure crisis that has gripped many of the nation’s housing markets is finally starting to ease, a trade group has reported.

“We are likely seeing the beginning of the end of the unprecedented wave of mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures that started with the subprime defaults in early 2007,” said Jay Brinkmann, chief economist of the Mortgage Bankers Association, in a written statement.

The delinquency rate for mortgages on one- to four-unit residential properties was a seasonally adjusted 9.47% of all mortgages outstanding in the fourth quarter, down from 9.64% in the third quarter and up from 7.88% in the fourth quarter of 2008, according to the MBA’s quarterly delinquency survey.

Delinquencies include mortgages that are at least one payment or more past due but not yet in foreclosure.

Meanwhile, 1.2% of outstanding mortgages entered the foreclosure process in the fourth quarter, down from 1.42% in the third quarter and up from 1.08% in the fourth quarter of 2008. The percentage of mortgages at some point in the foreclosure process at the end of the fourth quarter was 4.58%, up from 4.47% in the third quarter and 3.3% in the fourth quarter of 2008.

The MBA survey covers about 44.4 million loans on one- to four-unit residential properties, or about 85% of all first-lien residential mortgage loans that are outstanding in the country. No doubt, the foreclosure nightmare isn’t over yet.

The percentages of loans 90 days or more past due and loans in foreclosure process set record highs in the fourth quarter, according to the report. Many of those loans more than 90 days past due are in loan modification programs, and some of them have been seriously delinquent for months waiting for modifications to get finalized.

But the good news is there are fewer problem loans actually entering delinquency—likely a result of fewer layoffs, Brinkmann said. “We normally see a large spike in short-term mortgage delinquencies at the end of the year due to heating bills, Christmas expenditures and other seasonal factors. Not only did we not see that spike but the 30-day delinquencies actually fell by 16 basis points from 3.79% to 3.63%,” he said. He added that the non-seasonally adjusted 30-day delinquency rate has only dropped three times in the past between the third and fourth quarter—”and never by this magnitude.”

Depending on the fate of seriously delinquent mortgages—whether they are cured with modifications or ultimately enter foreclosure—the percentage of mortgages somewhere in the foreclosure process could start to see a gradual decline in the second half of the year, he said during a conference call with reporters.

If normal seasonal patterns hold, there could be a bigger drop in the 30-day delinquency rate in the first quarter of 2010, Brinkmann said. That would be a positive sign for the months and years ahead. “The continued and sizable drop in the 30-day delinquency rate is a concrete sign that the end may be in sight,” he said. “With fewer new loans going bad, the pool of seriously delinquent loans and foreclosures will eventually begin to shrink once the rate at which these problems are resolved exceeds the rate at which new problems come in. “It also gives us growing confidence that the size of the problem now is about as bad as it will get,” he said.

Poll Shows Strong Support for Government Housing Initiatives

RISMEDIA, March 5, 2010—Americans remain strongly committed to federal support for home buyers, according to a recent survey of U.S. households.

Roughly 68% of those polled said the government should continue to support housing, and 65% believe the government should be doing more to keep families from losing their homes to foreclosure.

The poll included both home owners and renters and was conducted for the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) by RT Strategies, a non-partisan public opinion polling firm based in Washington, D.C. RT Strategies interviewed a representative sample of 1,000 adults nationwide by telephone using live interviewers on January 29-31, 2010. The sample included 170 interviews with respondents from cell-phone-only households.

Among those polled, some key groups said the government should continue to play a vital role in maintaining a healthy housing market. For example, 78% of all potential home buyers, including 81% of renters intending to buy a home in the near future, said the government should continue to support housing.

Roughly 65% of home owners said the government also needs to do more to keep families from losing their homes. Support for more foreclosure protection was not confined merely to current home owners. Among renters, 84% said the government needs to do more to helped strapped borrowers. This issue is particularly important to women, with 71% supporting greater foreclosure protection, compared to 58% of men.

Keeping families in their homes is also particularly important to first-time home buyers, as 78% of young adults under age 30 support greater foreclosure protection. And 69% of adults who are 30 to 44, the prime age range for move-up buyers, said they support more foreclosure protection.

Overall, roughly two-in-three respondents said they own their home. Among renters, about two-in-three intend to buy a home in the near future. In addition, 15% of current home owners intend to buy a home in the near future.

The poll asked respondents for their views regarding the Worker, Homeownership and Business Assistance Act of 2009 that extended a tax credit of up to $8,000 for qualified first-time home buyers purchasing a principal residence. The legislation, which was signed into law by President Obama in November 2009, also authorized a tax credit of up to $6,500 for qualified repeat home buyers. Overall, 8% of those surveyed said they intend to take advantage of this credit, while another 24% who might have been interested in using the tax credit said they cannot afford to purchase a home at this time. Of the 33% of respondents who said they are planning to buy a home (both renters and current home owners), roughly 17% said they intend to use the tax credit.

Financial concerns continue to be the greatest barrier to growth in the housing market. Among renters nationwide who aspire to own their own home, 39% simply don’t have the money to buy a home at this time, and another 20% said the primary obstacle is that they feel they cannot qualify for a loan. Larger economic issues also play a role, as 18% of those surveyed said that job security is the greatest obstacle they face in trying to buy a home.

Weakness in the housing market itself may be blocking some home owners who would like to buy a new home, as 29% of current home owners said their greatest obstacle to purchasing another home is their inability to sell their current home. Beyond that, among current homeowners who aspire to buy a new home, 7% feel trapped by a mortgage that exceeds the value of their current home, 14% fear that the value of a new home might fall after they make the investment, and 13% say home prices are too high to allow them to buy a new home at this time.

Even amid a housing market downturn, 40% of respondents said their home is their most valuable investment, twice the number who cite any other single investment–401k accounts, savings accounts and CDs, stocks and bonds, or mutual funds–as their leading family investment.

Economic Recovery to Continue at Moderate Pace

RISMEDIA, February 25, 2010—(MCT)—Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress recently that he expected the U.S. economic recovery to continue at a moderate pace, but he expressed concerns about weakness in residential and commercial construction as well as the “quite weak” labor situation that has lifted chronic unemployment to very high levels.

“Of particular concern, because of its long-term implications for workers’ skills and wages, is the increasing incidence of long-term unemployment,” Bernanke said in prepared remarks as he delivered the Fed chairman’s semiannual report to the House Financial Services Committee. He noted that more than 40% of the unemployed workers have been jobless for six months or more, nearly double the share of a year ago.

Bernanke, in addressing Congress for the first time since his reappointment to a second four-year term as chairman last month, said the U.S. economy had expanded at an annual rate of about 4% in the second half of last year, with big help from temporary factors related to business inventory levels and stimulative fiscal and monetary policies. “A sustained recovery will depend on continued growth in private-sector final demand for goods and services,” he said.

With the early economic recovery and inflation remaining subdued, Bernanke reiterated that central bank policymakers expected to keep short-term interest rates at near zero for an “extended period,” which most analysts view as at least several months.

Bernanke also said again that the Fed had the tools to gradually siphon out of the economy the billions of dollars in emergency aid that the central bank pumped out to keep the economy from plunging into a depression. The so-called exit strategy is crucial, in both economic and political terms. If the Fed pulls back too fast, it could stifle recovery. If it moves too slowly, an outbreak of inflation could wreak havoc at home and damage confidence abroad.

Lawmakers questioning Bernanke were focused on jobs and the record federal deficits that are becoming a major political challenge for Bernanke and for the Obama administration. In statements before Bernanke’s testimony, Democratic members blamed the previous, Republican administration for the unemployment troubles and the bank bailouts that have fanned public ire at Bernanke and the political establishment.

Pressed by lawmakers, Bernanke said that the current pace of federal deficits was unsustainable and that the Obama administration’s economic stimulus plan—which Republican opponents have criticized as ineffective—had created jobs, though he didn’t cite any figures.